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基于信息量模型的进藏公路灾害风险区划
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1.中交第一公路勘察设计研究院有限公司,西安中交公路岩土工程有限责任公司;2.西安中交公路岩土工程有限责任公司

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U41

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3002600)


Disaster Risk Zoning of Tibet Highways Based on Information Model
Author:
Affiliation:

1.CCCC First Highway Consultants Co.,Ltd,Xi’an CCCC Highway Geotechnical Engineering Co.,Ltd;2.Xi’an CCCC Highway Geotechnical Engineering Co.,Ltd

Fund Project:

National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFC3002600)

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    摘要:

    青藏高原公路沿线灾害频发,严重影响道路通行且威胁人民生命财产安全,开展进藏公路灾害风险评估区划对提升进藏公路防灾抗灾能力具有重要意义。总结进藏公路区域地质环境与灾害发育规律,分析公路交通运行宏观表现,在此基础上以新藏公路为研究对象,根据区域地质环境及气象灾害主控因素有针对性地选取评价因子。采用基于多源数据融合的信息量模型建立新藏公路沿线水毁灾害、地质灾害与综合灾害风险评价模型,得到不同评价因子信息量值,绘制新藏公路水毁灾害与地质灾害易发性评价图、危险性评价分区图以及综合灾害危险性评价分区图。最终得到的地质灾害高和极高危险区域中包含了96.09%的已知地质灾害隐患点,水毁灾害高和极高危险区域中包含了94.74%的已知水毁灾害隐患点,综合灾害危险性评价分区图中高和极高危险区包含了95.76%的已知灾害隐患点,可以真实反映藏区公路灾害风险状况,验证了指标方法有效性。

    Abstract:

    Geological disasters occur frequently along the highways in the Tibetan Plateau, which seriously affects road traffic and threatens the safety of people 's lives and property. It is of great significance to carry out disaster risk assessment and zoning to improve the disaster prevention and resistance capacity of the highway into Tibet. The regional geological environment and disaster development law of the Tibet Highways are summarized, and the macro performance of highway traffic operation is analyzed. On this basis, the Xinjiang Tibet Highway is taken as the research object, and the evaluation factors are selected according to the regional geological environment and the main controlling factors of meteorological disasters. Using the information model based on multi-source data fusion, a risk assessment model for water damage disasters, geological disasters, and comprehensive disasters along the Xinjiang Tibet Highway is established. Different evaluation factor information values are obtained, and the susceptibility assessment map, hazard assessment zoning map, and comprehensive hazard risk assessment zoning map of water damage disasters and geological disasters along the Xinjiang Tibet Highway are drawn. The final geological hazard high and extremely high-risk areas contain 96.09% of known geological hazard hidden points, while the water damage hazard high and extremely high-risk areas contain 94.74% of known water damage hazard hidden points. The comprehensive disaster risk assessment zoning map shows that the high and extremely high-risk areas contain 95.76% of known disaster hidden points, which can truly reflect the risk status of road disasters in Tibetan areas and verify the effectiveness of the method.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-12
  • 最后修改日期:2024-12-27
  • 录用日期:2025-01-09
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